​A Model Discipline:  Political Science and the Logic of Representations
​(with David Primo)
New York:  Oxford University Press, 2012

Published Articles

Mortgage Pricing and Race:  Evidence from the Northeast (with Lawrence Rothenberg).
American Law and Economics Review ​Forthcoming (2017)

​Omitted Variables, Countervailing Effects, and The Possibility of Overadjustment (with Brenton Kenkel and Miguel Rueda).  
Political Science Research and Methods Forthcoming (2016)

Consistency of Choice in Nonparametric Multiple Comparisons (with Mark Fey).  
​Journal of Nonparametric Statistics  24:2 (2012)

More Phantom Than Menace. 
Conflict Management and Peace Science  29:2 (2012)

Quantitative Methods, Basic Assumptions. 
International Encyclopedia of Political Science  Sage Publications (2012)

Neyman-Rubin...O'Reilly? 
The Experimental Political Scientist 2:2 (2011)

Discriminating Methods:  Tests for Nonnested Discrete Choice Models (with Curt Signorino). 
Political Studies  58:2 (March 2010)

Return of the Phantom Menace:  Omitted Variable Bias in Econometric Research. 
Conflict Management and Peace Science  26:1 (February 2009)

Democracy and the Logic of Political Survival (with Randy Stone).
American Political Science Review  102:3 (August 2008)

Modernizing Political Science: A Model-Based Approach (with David Primo).
Perspectives on Politics  5:4 (December 2007)

A Simple Distribution-Free Test for Nonnested Hypotheses.
Political Analysis  15:3 (Summer 2007)

The Necessity of Being Comparative: Theory Confirmation in Quantitative Political Science.
Comparative Political Studies 40:7 (July 2007)

The Phantom Menace: Omitted Variable Bias in Econometric Research.
Conflict Management and Peace Science  22:4 (Winter 2005)

Nonparametric Model Discrimination in International Relations.
Journal of Conflict Resolution  47:1 (February 2003)

The Reverend and the Ravens.
Political Analysis  10:2 (Spring 2002)

Testing Nonnested Models of International Relations: Reevaluating Realism.
American Journal of Political Science 45:3 (July 2001)

Working Papers

​It's Sets All the Way Down (and Up)

​Time and the Study of Conflict:  Problems of Temporal Aggregation in Quantitative IR (with Hein Goemans and Michael Peress)