​A Model Discipline:  Political Science and the Logic of Representations
​(with David Primo)
New York:  Oxford University Press, 2012

Published Articles

Mortgage Pricing and Race:  Evidence from the Northeast (with Lawrence Rothenberg).
American Law and Economics Review ​20:1 (2018).

​Omitted Variables, Countervailing Effects, and The Possibility of Overadjustment (with Brenton Kenkel and Miguel Rueda).  
Political Science Research and Methods 6:2 (2018)

Consistency of Choice in Nonparametric Multiple Comparisons (with Mark Fey).  
​Journal of Nonparametric Statistics  24:2 (2012)

More Phantom Than Menace. 
Conflict Management and Peace Science  29:2 (2012)

Quantitative Methods, Basic Assumptions. 
International Encyclopedia of Political Science  Sage Publications (2012)

Neyman-Rubin...O'Reilly? 
The Experimental Political Scientist 2:2 (2011)

Discriminating Methods:  Tests for Nonnested Discrete Choice Models (with Curt Signorino). 
Political Studies  58:2 (March 2010)

Return of the Phantom Menace:  Omitted Variable Bias in Econometric Research. 
Conflict Management and Peace Science  26:1 (February 2009)

Democracy and the Logic of Political Survival (with Randy Stone).
American Political Science Review  102:3 (August 2008)

Modernizing Political Science: A Model-Based Approach (with David Primo).
Perspectives on Politics  5:4 (December 2007)

A Simple Distribution-Free Test for Nonnested Hypotheses.
Political Analysis  15:3 (Summer 2007)

The Necessity of Being Comparative: Theory Confirmation in Quantitative Political Science.
Comparative Political Studies 40:7 (July 2007)

The Phantom Menace: Omitted Variable Bias in Econometric Research.
Conflict Management and Peace Science  22:4 (Winter 2005)

Nonparametric Model Discrimination in International Relations.
Journal of Conflict Resolution  47:1 (February 2003)

The Reverend and the Ravens.
Political Analysis  10:2 (Spring 2002)

Testing Nonnested Models of International Relations: Reevaluating Realism.
American Journal of Political Science 45:3 (July 2001)

Working Papers

​It's Sets All the Way Down: Algebras, Logic, and the False Foundations of QCA​

​Time and the Study of Conflict:  Problems of Temporal Aggregation in Quantitative IR (with Hein Goemans and Michael Peress)